股指:
昨日主要指数均收涨且涨幅相对可观,其中科创50涨幅相对较大,上证50涨幅相对略小,行业方面,综合金融与电子行业表现相对较强,银行与电力行业涨幅相对较小,市场整体成交量较前一日小幅回升,北上资金大幅净流入超百亿元,这是自上周注册制消息公布以来北上最大单日净流入。短期我们认为指数有震荡修整的可能,A+H市场连续快速上涨后存在技术性修整的可能,但风险释放的力度性对可控,一方面内部资金有望接力,另一方面海外权益市场近期整体表现积极。就长期而言,各类政策的出台与逐步落地有利于改善市场情绪,市场信心已经进入逐步恢复的过程并将进一步延续。
国债:
国债期货全面上涨,10年期主力合约涨0.115%,5年期主力合约涨0.09%,2年期主力合约涨0.05%。央行昨日进行4530亿元人民币7天期逆回购操作,中标利率为2.00%,与昨日持平。因有660亿元逆回购7天到期,实现净投放3870亿元。疫情影响过后叠加稳增长政策持续发力,经济弱修复成为债市主逻辑,国债期货跨期价差及基差偏高反映市场对未来经济的好转预期,国债期货长期偏弱运行态势难改。
贵金属:
隔夜伦敦现货金银再现冲高回落,现货黄金下跌0.11%至1860.06美元/盎司,现货白银下跌0.14%至21.903美元/盎司。昨日全球主要的黄金SPDR ETF持仓较上一交易日减仓0.31吨至920.79吨。昨晚美联储多位官员讲话偏鹰派,均表示将继续加息,从市场表现来看也有押注加息超终点利率的交易。从盘面走势来看,美元指数先抑后扬,表现继续偏强,并压制金银价格走势。
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